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This article investigates the statistical and economic implications of adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with panel data and alternative predictors. The candidate exchange rate predictors are drawn from (i) macroeconomic ‘fundamentals’, (ii) return/volatility of asset markets and (iii)...
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agents' beliefs. We assume that agents choose their information acquisition rate by minimizing a loss function that depends … on expected forecast errors and information costs. Endogenous inattention is a Nash equilibrium in the information …
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