Policy analysis with a detailed CGE model requires two simulations. The first simulation is the baseline forecast or business-as-usual simulation. This simulation models the growth of the South African economy and the HIV epidemic over time in the absence of the policy change under...

A number of methods and models have been used to analyse the economic impacts of HIV/AIDS. The overall consensus is that depending on the severity of the epidemic, HIV/AIDS holds serious negative consequences for economic growth and economic welfare. The aim of this paper is to give a broad...

This paper describes the construction of database constructed for a dynamic CGE model for South Africa (hereafter SAGE). The starting point for creating a database for a CGE model are official data from an Input/output (IO) table, or from a Supply Use Table (SUT), or from a Social Accounting...

This paper describes the application of a detailed labour-supply module, including HIV/AIDS for South Africa. I begin by developing a model of the South African labour market that embodies two salient features of HIV: (1) incidence and transmission rates follow distinct patterns by age, gender,...

This paper describes the construction of a database that underlies the labour supply module developed for South Africa, with a specific focus on HIV/AIDS. The labour supply theory imposes a stock/flow dynamic mechanism on labour market groups distinguished by labour market activity, age, gender,...