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We provide a preference-based rationale for endogenous overconfidence. Horizon-dependent risk aversion, combined with a possibility to forget, can generate overconfidence and excessive risk taking in equilibrium. An "anxiety prone" agent, who is more risk-averse to imminent than to distant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482950
studies managers who participate repeatedly in a high-powered tournament incentive system, learning relative performance each … time. Using reduced form and structural methods we find that: (i) managers make overconfident predictions about future … performance; (ii) managers have overly-positive memories of past performance; (iii) the two phenomena are linked at an individual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014311540
introduce a model, in which managers and agents exert effort in a joint production, after the manager decides on the allocation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571367
We analyze the effects of optimism and overconfidence when the manager's compensation package includes severance pay and the CEO has bargaining power. We find that optimism does not affect incentive pay but increases severance pay with a negative effect on profit. Overconfidence, on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013255972
profitable and faster growing. For example, if they are trusted, managers can delegate decisions to employees with confidence … relationships, in particular trust, allow managers to arrange a business in a more productive way; high-trust firms are both more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290491
This study examines the relationship between firms' political connections and their confidence in achieving enhanced … increased confidence in anticipating improved sales. This positive association remains robust even after controlling for various … determinants of managers' sentiment. Quantitatively, our results indicate that having a politician on the board increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014637103
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Weak paternalism commits protégés to their own plans. This experiment addresses the question of whether protégés judge weakly paternalistic acts primarily by means of their consequences or on principle grounds. Subjects receive a reward for showing up to the laboratory early the next morning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008669965