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This paper proposes a new method for empirically validate simulation models that generate artificial time series data … able to tackle both the problem of confronting theoretical simulation models with the data and the problem of comparing … to the Dosi et al. (2015) macro-model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011457385
This paper proposes a new method to empirically validate simulation models that generate artificial time series data … tackle both the problem of confronting theoretical simulation models with the data and the problem of comparing different … Dosi et al. (2015) macro-model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993435
In this paper, we propose a new procedure for unconditional and conditional forecasting in agent-based models. The proposed algorithm is based on the application of amortized neural networks and consists of two steps. The first step simulates artificial datasets from the model. In the second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346187
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054448
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015149490
We introduce a financially constrained production framework in which heterogeneous firms and banks entertain multiple credit connections. The parameters of credit market interaction are estimated from real data in order to reproduce a set of empirical regularities of the Japanese credit market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903705
Simulated models suffer intrinsically from validation and comparison problems. The choice of a suitable indicator quantifying the distance between the model and the data is pivotal to model selection. However, how to validate and discriminate between alternative models is still an open problem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490842
The present paper aims to test a new model comparison methodology by calibrating and comparing three agent-based models of financial markets on the daily returns of 18 indices. The models chosen for this empirical application are the herding model of Gilli & Winker, its asymmetric version by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517721
paper merges model simulation and output analysis into a surrogate meta-model, which substantially ease ABM calibration. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011630888
Since the influential survey by Windrum et al. (2007), research on empirical validation of agent-based models in economics has made substantial advances, thanks to a constant flow of high-quality contributions. This Chapter attempts to take stock of such recent literature to offer an updated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011729421