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comprehensive simulation study covering a vast spectrum of market scenarios. Our results consistently and convincingly establish …
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This paper documents a comparative application of algorithms to deal with the problem of missing values in higher frequency data sets. We refer to Swiss business tendency survey (BTS) data, in particular the KOF manufacturing surveys, which are conducted in both monthly and quarterly frequency,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472865
This paper documents a comparative application of algorithms to deal with the problem of missing values in higher frequency data sets. We refer to Swiss business tendency survey (BTS) data which are conducted in both monthly and quarterly frequency, where an information sub-set is collected at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013482570
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It is investigated whether Euro-area variables can be forecast better based on synthetic time series for the pre-Euro period or by using just data from Germany for the pre-Euro period. Our forecast comparison is based on quarterly data for the period 1970Q1 - 2003Q4 for ten macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003375993
For the studies of wealth, inequality and poverty, the analysis of income distribution of the individuals is a crucial issue. In practice, however, only aggregated data are available, either in groups or as a few quantiles of the distribution. To perform counterfactual exercises, it is desirable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012494864
In this paper we provide probability forecasts of key Turkish macro economic variables such as inflation and output growth. Some probabilistic forecasts of different scenarios associated to those variables are also calculated. The probability forecasts take different types of uncertainties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089912
This paper explores how discretionary fiscal policies on the revenue side of the government budget have reacted to economic fluctuations in European Union countries. For this purpose, it uses data on legislated revenue changes and structural indicators provided twice per year by National Central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605164