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Field tests of a new Information Aggregation Mechanism (IAM) developed via laboratory experimental methods were … implemented inside Intel Corporation for sales forecasting. The IAM, which incorporates selected features of parimutuel betting …, is uniquely designed to collect and quantize as probability distributions any dispersed, subjectively held information …
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following actual earnings outcome. Using an experiment, we present evidence that investors react negatively to forecast … information disaggregation …
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using time series aggregation as an additional regressor. To address the lack of sales coherence within predefined business … sales history to establish more coherent aggregation clusters. We conduct a comprehensive case study featuring over 3000 … forecasting models for time series characterized by intermittent demand and high variations in sales quantity through the …
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