The demographic transition in Eastern Europe and Central Asia -- Demographic change and labor markets -- Aging, savings, and financial markets -- Aging and pension expenditures -- Aging, long term care, and public expenditures -- Aging and education

Population forecasts are crucial for many social, political and economic decisions. Official population projections rely in general on deterministic models which use different scenarios for future vital rates to indicate uncertainty. However, this technique shows substantial weak points such as...