In this paper we identify the effects of ageing on the relative price of nontradeables versus tradeables. We consider two cases. In a first specification, age effects only account for short-run dynamics. An alternative case allows for permanent age effects. Estimating the respective cases by...

The evidence on the inflation impact of aging is mixed, and there is no evidence regarding the volatility of inflation. Based on advanced economies' data and a DSGE-OLG model, we find that aging leads to downward pressure on inflation and higher inflation volatility. Our paper is also the first,...

Most euro area countries have entered an unprecedented ageing process: life expectancy continues to rise and fertility rates have declined, while retirement age in the last twenty to thirty years hardly increased. This implies an ever smaller fraction of the working age population in total...

An extended dynamic Nelson-Siegel (DNS) model is developed with an additional functional demographic (FD) factor that considers the overall demographic age distribution as a persistent long-run driving force. The FD factor in the extended DNS model improves the accuracy of the yield curve...

We analyse the adjustment of public education spending in response to rapidly decreasing student cohorts in East Germany where birth rates collapsed after German reunification. Previous results from the literature based on data from more stable demographic periods suggest that public resources...

Die demografische Entwicklung wird mittel- bis langfristig zu nachhaltigen Veränderungen in Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft führen. Die Alterung und Schrumpfung der Bevölkerung in Deutschland werden sich sowohl auf die Güternachfrage als auch auf die Verfügbarkeit und Preise von...

Dieser Bericht präsentiert das konzeptionelle und methodische Design, die wichtigsten empirischen Ergebnisse sowie die Schlussfolgerungen des Forschungsprojektes "Strategien der Daseinsvorsorge unter den Bedingungen von Alterung und Bevölkerungsrückgang: Fallstudien im West- und Ostharz...