Showing 1 - 10 of 4,989
fluctuations not forecasted by Gaussian models. This paper applies a resampling method based on the bootstrap and a bias …-correction step to improve Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting ability of the n-EGARCH (normal EGARCH) model and correct the VaR for both … long and short positions. Our aim is to utilize the advantages of this model, but still use the bootstrap resampling method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011632622
We examine how sensitive the new performance indexes incorporating high moments and disaster risk are to disaster risk …. The new performance indexes incorporating high moments and disaster risk are the Aumann-Serrano performance index and … underlying risk. We show, by numerical examples and empirical examples, how sensitive these indexes are to disaster risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483189
We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and their forecasting performance of the conditional variance in an out-of-sample setting. Exponential GARCH model of Nelson (1991) with “constant mean, t-distribution, one lag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159436
Diversification of financial securities is considered a substantial element of portfolio risk. In this context, the … construction of an optimal portfolio is an ongoing concern for portfolio managers. This study measures the risk-reward tradeoffs … risk for DAX, MDAX, and CAC40 decreases from joining a common hypothetical stock market, while for FTSE100, FTSE MIB, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277308
We present an empirical study of the Aumann-Serrano performance index for multi-period gambles when the underlying stochastic process is assumed to be a normal mixture process with time-varying volatility. We compare the Aumann-Serrano performance index for multi-period gambles with that for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388236
irrelevant for stocks with extremely high risk. This study finds that the SAI in India explains the variation in the excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013183936
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012630868
This article documents the stochastic properties of bivariate returns to international stock market indices. In particular, the article searches for the best fit among a class of higher-order VARMA(u,v)-EGARCH(p,q) models with normal errors and a constant conditional correlation using MSCI...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004437
Long memory is found in the conditional volatilities of financial returns measured at daily or higher frequencies, as well as in residual cross-products in bivariate series. We test for long memory in conditional correlations by extending the fractionally integrated GARCH model to include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014179077
We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high … lower cost in capital reserves. In ES estimation the hybrid model yields the smallest error statistics surpassing even the … EV models, especially in the developed markets. -- value at risk ; expected shortfall ; hybrid historical simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003891679