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apply extreme value theory (EVT) distributions to predict extreme losses of five South African (SA) financial times stock … independently and identically distributed (i.i.d). It is therefore concluded that the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) is a …
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We develop a new methodology that measures conditional dependency. We achieve this by using copula functions that link marginal distributions, here chosen to obey a GARCH-type model with time-varying skewness and kurtosis. We apply this model to daily returns of stock-market indices. We find...
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The asymmetry in the tail dependence between U.S. equity portfolios and the aggregate U.S. market is a well-established property. Given the limited number of observations in the tails of a joint distribution, standard non-parametric measures of tail dependence have poor finite-sample properties...
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