captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term … structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and bond yields as well as risk premia are affine functions of the state …

The study investigated both the January effect and the "sell-in-May-and-go-away" anomaly in government bond returns. It … volatility, credit risk, value, and momentum premia. Our examination of government bond markets in 25 countries for years 1992 …-2016 proved that both the bond returns and factor premia had remained unaffected by the January and "sell-in-May" effects. These …

. Seemingly, markets have been demanding more stocks instead of bonds. Yet, instead of observing higher bond rates, paradoxically …, bond rates have been persistently negative after the Lehman-Brothers collapse. To explain this paradox, we suggest that, in …, this rise in perceived market fragility alone can explain the drop in both bond rates and price-dividend ratios observed …

captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term … structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and bond yields as well as risk premia are affine functions of the state …

be compensated, if markets are efficient. We call this the "bond agio premium" and use constituent-level bond index data … for January 1997 through December 2022 to show that - holding issuer and maturity fixed - it is reflected by bond prices …

We examine time-varying explanatory power of realized moments on subsequent bond futures excess returns using more than … 12 years of high-frequency data from U.S. and German sovereign bond markets. We detect realized volatility and realized … traditional bond return predictors such as term or default spreads. Most importantly, we reveal the bond excess return …

pronounced for USTs given data on ten other previously unexamined government bond markets. Second, BABgov appears robust when … government bond markets remains ambiguous. …

This paper provides empirical evidence on predictable shifts in the degree of bond return predictability. Bond returns … multivariate test for equal conditional predictive ability, can be used in real-time to improve out-of-sample bond risk premia …