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domestic volatility after good shocks but a bad hedge after crashes …
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We propose a new model for dynamic volatilities and correlations of skewed and heavy-tailed data. Our model endows the Generalized Hyperbolic distribution with time-varying parameters driven by the score of the observation density function. The key novelty in our approach is the fact that the...
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This working paper presents the general theory of the higher order "skew lognormal cascade distribution" as a … is studied in details, which incorporates the fat tails into the volatility (aka the volatility of volatility). We show … market index, and the market entropy of the stock market. Such study in the context of stochastic portfolio theory reveals …
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If you put two mounds of sugar with identical conditions near an ants' nest, which one will the ants congregate at? Kirman explained the process of ant social herding using a simple model, and he conducted an interesting simulation. The fat tail distribution in the security market is well known,...
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