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We estimate a continuous-time model with stochastic volatility and dynamic crash probability for the S&P 500 index and find that market illiquidity dominates other factors in explaining the stock market crash risk. While the crash probability is time-varying, its dynamic depends only weakly on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517122
Based on a new approach for measuring the comovements between stock market returns, we provide a nonparametric test for asymmetric comovements in the sense that stock market downturns will lead to stronger comovements than market upturns. The test is used to detect whether asymmetric comovements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280262
In the postglobal financial crisis period, the central banks of the advanced economies pursued unconventional monetary policies, such as the United States (US) Federal Reserve's quantitative easing (QE). Those policies and their unwinding may significantly affect cross-border capital flows and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346243
The paper considers the problem of volatility co-movement, namely as to whether two financial returns have perfectly correlated common volatility process, in the framework of multivariate stochastic volatility models and proposes a test which checks the volatility co-movement. The proposed test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602570
Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht den Zusammenhang zwischen politischen Zyklen und Aktienrenditen in Deutschland. Während sich die bis dato verfügbaren Studien über politisch bedingte Aktienmarktanomalien auf die USA konzentrieren, analysieren wir deren Existenz in deutschen Aktienrenditen....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296346
This paper examines quantile dependence and directional predictability between the foreign exchange market and the stock market in Korea. Instead of adopting a multivariate model such as a vector autoregressive model, a multivariate GARCH model or a combination of both models, we apply the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966341
Although liquidity has received wide attention in asset pricing literature over the past decades, how stock liquidity is priced in emerging markets remains unclear. We find that liquidity plays an important role in explaining the cross-section and time-series variation in expected returns by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238400
We investigate the long-run holding returns of the stocks listed on eight Japanese stock exchanges with weekly return data from 1977 through 2007. We find existence of significant positive autocorrelations for the smallest and the middle quintile portfolios from the variance ratio test, but not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138973
This paper applies the MV criterion, CAPM statistics, and the modified stochastic dominance tests to examine the stochastic dominance (SD) relationship between the spot and futures markets in Malaysia and investigates the preference of these markets for risk averters and risk seekers before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125370
Empirical research confirms the existence of volatility spillovers across national stock markets. However, the models in use are mostly statistical ones. Much less is known about the actual transmission mechanisms; theoretical literature is scarce, and so is empirical work trying to estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108801