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(GARCH) models, of differing lag and parameter terms, to forecast the variance of the market used in the denominator of the … squared forecast error (MSE) were used to compare the forecasting ability of the ex-ante GARCH models, Artificial Neural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526799
validate this result. The last twenty eight days out-of-sample forecast adjudged Power-GARCH (1, 1, 1) in student's t error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489480
heteroscedasticity GARCH (1, 1) model. Also, to control if political uncertainty before the elections influences the return of MBI 10, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011936866
nonlinear volatility models (symmetric and asymmetric Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131511
traditional GARCH-type models (GARCH and GJR-GARCH) the two-regime Markov Switching GARCHtype models (MS-GARCH and MS-GJR-GARCH … persistence of individual markets which substantially differed across the both regimes. Furthermore, the GJR-GARCH and MS-GJR-GARCH … models clearly confirmed the presence of the leverage effect. Consideration of the MS-GARCH-type models enabled to capture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013499116
/methodology/approach - The copula-based GARCH (1,1) and minimum spanning tree models are used in this study to analyze 14 series of stock market … pandemic. Moreover, the study fills the literature gap by combining the copula-based GARCH and the minimum spanning tree models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014445508
error distribution were incorporated in the GARCH (2,1) and EGARCH (2,1) models. Result reveals that day-of-the-week effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471089
, Hong Kong and Taiwan), Japan and US. The originality of the paper is the use of STAR-GARCH models, instead of standard … correlation-cointegration techniques. For each country in the Pacific Basin region, we find statistically adequate STAR-GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011325074
In this paper, we extend the concept of News Impact Curve developed by Engle and Ng (1993) to the higher moments of the multivariate returns' distribution, thereby providing a tool to investigate the impact of shocks on the characteristics of the subsequent distribution. For this purpose, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394353
This study examines the impact of volatility shifts on volatility persistence for three major sector indices of Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) and ISE National 100 index over the period beginning from 1997 and ending in 2009. The exponential generalized autoregressive conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009501246