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investment returns. Previous research has shown that stock prices and the slope of the term structure of interest rates reflect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032922
firms in making their investment decisions. We use a revealed preference approach that relies on the pattern of investment … spending - combined with investment theory - to estimate the discount rates used by managers. The standard story predicts that … firms with high stock prices and good investment opportunities should have discount rates that do not differ systematically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153871
Is real investment fully determined by fundamentals or is it sometimes affected by stock market misvaluation? We … introduce three new tests that: measure the reaction of investment to sales shocks for firms that may be overvalued; use Fama … misvaluation into standard investment equations to estimate the quantitative effect of misvaluation on investment. Overall, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736657
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003425629
We empirically analyze asset price boom-bust cycles over a long-run period of 1896-2014 for the U.S., the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden. We focus on macro-financial linkages to understand if these are common phenomena during financial crises, or if the linkage was simply amplified during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446571
The stock market participation rate among homeowners is twice as high as among renters. This paper builds a life-cycle portfolio choice model with endogenous housing tenure choice. A stylized form of preference heterogeneity generates a substantial difference in participation rates. A majority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940650
Home owners are about twice as likely as renters to participate in the stock market, both in the USA and Sweden. This paper sets up a life-cycle portfolio choice model which generates this pattern of limited stock market participation. Calibrated to Swedish data, the model generates the stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975201
We provide evidence of the stock market wealth effect on consumption by using a local labor market analysis and regional heterogeneity in stock market wealth. An increase in local stock wealth driven by aggregate stock prices increases local employment and payroll in nontradable industries and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848885
What are the main drivers of fluctuations in the aggregate US stock market? In this paper, we attempt to resolve the long-lasting debate surrounding this question by designing and solving a consumption-based asset pricing model which incorporates stochastic volatility, long-run risks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094186
We present an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of stock market bubbles and business cycles using Bayesian methods. Bubbles emerge through a positive feedback loop mechanism supported by self-fulfilling beliefs. We identify a sentiment shock that drives the movements of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757753