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Using U.S. data from 1926 to 2015, I show that financial skewness?a measure comparing cross-sectional upside and downside risks of the distribution of stock market returns of financial firms?is a powerful predictor of business cycle fluctuations. I then show that shocks to financial skewness are...
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the conventional symmetrical panel ARDL (PARDL) model was not able to formulate long-run cointegration between currency … recessionary period and the overall sampling time frame by utilizing the panel-based NARDL framework (PNARDL). The study suggests …
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