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Before shares of a company are sold to the general public on a security exchange for the first time, regulatory publication requirements force U.S. firms to file an initial public offering prospectus. While accounting information in IPO filings are closely studied by investors and analysts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046950
Analysts often update their recommendations following corporate news. Questions have been raised regarding analysts' ability to generate new information beyond recent corporate events. Employing a comprehensive database on corporate news we show that only a small minority of 27.9% of all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010483419
This paper focuses on the investment value of information contained in the tails of the analyst forecast distribution. I determine the investment value of the tails by looking at dissident analysts -- who release EPS forecasts far from the prevailing consensus. I then test the hypothesis that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008332
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This paper shows that analyst recommendations aggregated at the country level predict international stock market returns. A trading strategy based on past country-level recommendations yields an abnormal return of around 0.9 percent per month. Aggregate analyst recommendations also predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986529
I construct and study a comprehensive novel dataset on Chinese equity analysts. I find the analysts possess significant forecasting skill. First, I find that more favorable recommendations predict better stock performance for at least six months after the recommendation. Second, the value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914411
Analysts cover portfolios of firms. Firms in these analyst portfolios are thus in principle subject to common (integrated) production of information. Nonetheless, this paper documents significant stock return and forecast revision predictability across firms with common analyst coverage. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967356
We consider trading against a hedge fund or large trader that must liquidate a large position in a risky asset if the market price of the asset crosses a certain threshold. Liquidation occurs in a disorderly manner and negatively impacts the market price of the asset. We consider the perspective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981705
By manually collecting data on Internet-based rumors concerning COVID-19, we investigate the market reactions to the spread of such rumors and the government's refutation of them. We find that frightening (reassuring) rumors have a negative (positive) impact on investors. The refutation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013541679
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