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We study the effects that the ban on short sales of shares in financial firms introduced in late 2008 and removed early 2009 had on the microstructure and the quality of UK equity markets. We show that the ban did nothing to affect order flows: financial stocks were being more aggressively sold...
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This paper examines the role played by cross-border equity, bond and bank credit flows versus international trade in the transmission of the U.S. financial crisis to equity markets worldwide. We estimate vector autoregressive models with exogenous global factors using monthly data on 36 emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972577
The portfolio-rebalancing theory of Hau and Rey (2006) yields the uncovered equity parity (UEP) prediction that local-currency equity return appreciation is offset by currency depreciation. Vector autoregressive model estimation and tests for eight Asian emerging markets using daily data reveal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851979
This paper provides a comprehensive statistical and economic evidence on the forecasting power of local-currency equity and bond returns in predicting exchange rate returns. We first construct out-of-sample (OOS) forecasts using various model specifications of equity and bond returns, and assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239119
In this Appendix, we present the results of four supplementary robustness checks including controlling for various macro risks (Appendix A), different time periods (Appendix B), a different method of forecast construction (Appendix C), and different trading strategy (Appendix D)
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