This paper addresses the relationship between stock markets and credit default swaps (CDS) markets. In particular, I aim to gauge if the co-movement between stock prices and sovereign CDS spreads increases with the deterioration of the credit quality of sovereign debt. The analysis of...

The paper argues that bond investors (and, implicitly large creditors in general), may not necessarily demonstrate the “Investors' Smartness” that some previous studies attributed to large institutional holders, when it comes to pricing-in for economic shocks likely to occur in future. This...

We find that the demand for stock options that increases exposure to the underlying is positively related to the individual investor sentiments and past market returns, whereas the demand for index options is invariant to these factors. These differences in trading patterns are also reflected in...

We derive a model-free expression of the serial dependence coefficients of the stock market returnin terms of the prices of available index options, VIX futures, and VIX options. As a result,we obtain real-time market autocorrelation and regression coefficients between market returnsover two...

Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...

Weekends and holidays lead to gaps in daily financial data. Standard models ignore these irregularities. Because this issue is particularly important for persistent time series, we focus on volatility modelling, specifically modelling of realized volatility. We suggest a simple way of adjusting...

This study explores whether conditional correlations between precious metals and stock markets impact upon expected returns on precious metals. The empirical evidence presents that there is no significant trade–off between conditional correlations and expected returns. This study reveals that...

We analyze the price effects of steel commodities on stock market returns in emerging and developed economies. These commodities have recently attained increased media exposure due to the rise in the U.S. steel import tariffs, which pose the threat of reducing global demand for steel products...

This paper examines the impact of the exchange rate, oil price and gold price on the Kuwaiti stock market using a wavelet analysis, namely, cross-wavelet coherency and partial cross-wavelet coherency. This method is used to test for nonlinear causality and decompose the data into various time...

We study volatility spillovers among commodity and equity markets by employing a recently developed approach based on realized measures and forecast error variance decomposition invariant to the variable ordering from vector-autoregressions. This enables us to measure total, directional and net...