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We find that commodity risk is priced in the cross-section of US stock returns. Following the financialization of commodities, investors hedge commodity price risk directly in the futures market, primarily via commodity index investments, whereas before they gained commodity exposure mainly via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068442
This study examines time-series momentum in the Chinese commodity futures market. The findings show that a time-series momentum strategy performs best with a one-month look-back period and a one-month holding period. Furthermore, this strategy outperforms passive long and cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895464
We propose a novel measure of the ex-ante commodity downside-risk premium (CDP) for each commodity based on a term structure model of commodity futures. Our theory-based CDP, capturing forward-looking information in the futures markets, outperforms well-known characteristics in explaining the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239736
I present a production-based general equilibrium model that jointly prices bond and stock returns. The model produces time-varying correlation between stock and long-term default-free real bond returns that changes in both magnitude and sign. The real term premium is also time-varying and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904335
The paper argues that bond investors (and, implicitly large creditors in general), may not necessarily demonstrate the “Investors' Smartness” that some previous studies attributed to large institutional holders, when it comes to pricing-in for economic shocks likely to occur in future. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100689
The paper shows that issuing activity does not result in superior liquidity. Even the kinds of new issues that are supposed to be more liquid than others (IPOs backed by venture capital, new issues with high-prestige underwriters, severely underpriced IPOs) are just as liquid as their peer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904032
With the emergence and spreading of COVID-19 pandemic all over the world, the uncertainty has been increasing for countries. Depending on this condition, especially emerging countries have been affected negatively by foreign portfolio investment outflows from stock exchanges, and main stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827508
This paper analyses the role of investor sentiment in the contemporaneous dynamics of spot and futures markets and in volatility spillovers between them. To explore this issue, we analyse spot and futures markets on stock market indexes in different countries: the S&P500 for the US, and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044815
Understanding volatility transmissions amongst commodity futures and the stock market is integral for risk management. In this study, we investigate the time-varying volatility spillovers amongst nine major commodity futures and the US S\&P 500 index across three decades. We also analyse the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349612
This paper investigates to what extent the fundamentals of the real economy are reflected in the stock prices of Japan. A Markov switching VAR model with switching variances is used to test the structural identification scheme. Identification of fundamental and nonfundamental shocks is shown to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009537327