We develop a new measure for the probability of informed trading, called PCP. Using double-sorted portfolios, we find that excess returns increase from low to high PCP portfolios. In regression analysis, the effect of PCP on returns is significantly positive after controlling for illiquidity...

There has been an extraordinary decrease in order execution time on stock exchanges in the past two decades. A related question is whether there has been a similar reduction in orders of magnitude for the lengths of the lead lag time between stocks. If the answer is affirmative, and the lengths...

Does informed trading affect emerging stock markets? Market microstructure literature establishes that information asymmetry reduces liquidity and moves prices in the direction of the trade. We test for this theoretical implication by running the dynamic PIN model of Easley, Engle, O'Hara y Wu...

Security Transaction Tax (STT) was introduced in the Indian capital market in 2004. It is a tax on transaction of equities as well as their derivatives. Despite the reduction in STT over the years, it constitutes a large percentage (next only to brokerage fee) of the total cost of trading. The...

Besides the positively biased rating structure and procyclical nature of analysts' stock recommendations we observe that within the global universe stock recommendations and stock performance are largely uncorrelated. Nevertheless, investors are able to benefit from sell side stock...

Objective - Less than 1% of the population in the Philippines has invested in the stock market (PSE, 2016). The Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) has been in operation since 1927 and is one of the oldest in the Asia Pacific. The primary objective of this research is to examine the investing...

This paper examines the presence of the turn-of-the-year effects on the Romanian capital market. We use the daily closing values of some important indexes of the Bucharest Stock Exchange for the period January 2000 – August 2017. In order to reveal the impact of a turbulent context on the...

Before 1975, the mean weekend rate of return on the equal-weight (value-weight) stock market portfolio is significant -18bp (-19bp). After 1975, it is insignificant -5bp (-1bp). This break date is determined by a structural break test with unknown break date. The weekend effect is no longer an...

Easley / Kiefer / O'Hara / Paperman (1996) (EKOP) have proposed an empirical methodology that allows to estimate the probability of informed trading and that has subsequently been used to address a wide range of issues in market microstructure. The data needed for estimation is the number of...

Using a structural market microstructure model, we develop a new measure of price informativeness that utilizes data on both price and volume, which we call the INF measure. We show that, compared to traditional measures, our measure is better at capturing information in prices, evidenced by...