We used the log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS) methodology to systematically investigate the 2020 stock market crash in the U.S. equities sectors using the Wilshire 5000 Total Market index, the S&P 500 index, the S&P MidCap 400 index, and the Russell 2000 index. During the crash, all...

In this study, we perform a novel analysis of the 2015 financial bubble in the Chinese stock market by calibrating the Log Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model to two important Chinese stock indices, SSEC and SZSC, from early 2014 to June 2015. The back tests of the 2015 Chinese stock...

We applied the Log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS) methodology to analyze the performances of the 10 major global stock market indexes from both developed and emergent stock markets in the 2020 global stock market. The results show that the crashes for the 7 indexes: SP500, DJIA, NASDAQ,...

We study the non-linear causal relation between uncertainty-due-to-infectious-diseases and stock-bond correlation. To this end, we use high-frequency 1-min data to compute daily realized measures of correlation and jumps, and then, we employ a nonlinear Granger causality test with the use of...

The main challenge by the study of systemic risk is the measurement of contagion that enables the impact of external movement in one market on other markets. One of the main tools that has been proposed for this purpose is the risk measure ∆CoVaR of Adrian and Brunnermeier (2011). This study...

In this paper, we examine whether jumps matter in both equity market returns and integrated volatility. For this purpose, we use the swap variance (SwV) approach to identify monthly jumps and estimated realized volatility in prices for both developed and emerging markets from February 2001 to...

This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...