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There has been considerable research into dynamic global tactical asset allocation (GTAA) strategies driven by simple measures of Valuation and Momentum applied to a baseline balanced portfolio of equities and fixed income (see Blitz and van Vliet 2008, Wang and Kochard 2011, Gnedenko and Yelnik...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838940
We show that log-dividends (d) and log-prices (p) are cointegrated, but, instead of de facto assuming the stationarity of the classical log dividend–price ratio, we allow the data to reveal the cointegration vector between d and p. We define the modified dividend–price ratio (mdp), as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905483
I introduce a method for gauging the qualitative similarity of firm-specific information based on linguistic commonality in newswire text. I show that this new qualitative similarity measure predicts future cross-firm return correlation even after accounting for the pair's contemporaneous price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975015
In this short note, we show investors one way to calculate ideal investment sizing by using two rules of thumb based on a simple outline of individual risk aversion. We illustrate these two heuristics, which are not widely appreciated, with thought experiments involving coin flips and ketchup &...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978604
Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057742
In this article, we are going to attempt to explain the origin, function, purpose and relation of the Stock Market to the modern financial system in India with the help of government documents, journals and valuable books for meaningful conclusion
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023257
This research considers the strategies on the initial public offering of company equity at the stock exchanges in the imperfect highly volatile global capital markets with the nonlinearities. We provide the IPO definition and compare the initial listing requirements on the various markets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026463
The US Treasury effectively ”owns” about 24% of the stocks held by high income US taxable investors. Through the capital gains tax, Uncle Sam has an effective exposure of more than $1 trillion of equities. And this huge-but-silent investor might be about to get a lot bigger if capital gains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235049
This research represents the union of two main studies: the first one focused on the analysis of the CAPE Ratio, also known as the Cyclically Adjusted Price-Earnings ratio, a valuation measure introduced by the Nobel Prize Robert Shiller, and the second one focused on the predictability of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252430
In this study, we analyze the effects of sovereign credit rating reviews on national stock market performances in GIIPS and BRIC countries during the European Sovereign Debt Crisis of 2009-2013. Through an event study, we test the Null Hypothesis that cumulative abnormal returns on national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060066