This paper examines the role played by cross-border equity, bond and bank credit flows versus international trade in the transmission of the U.S. financial crisis to equity markets worldwide. We estimate vector autoregressive models with exogenous global factors using monthly data on 36 emerging...

The portfolio-rebalancing theory of Hau and Rey (2006) yields the uncovered equity parity (UEP) prediction that local-currency equity return appreciation is offset by currency depreciation. Vector autoregressive model estimation and tests for eight Asian emerging markets using daily data reveal...

This paper provides a comprehensive statistical and economic evidence on the forecasting power of local-currency equity and bond returns in predicting exchange rate returns. We first construct out-of-sample (OOS) forecasts using various model specifications of equity and bond returns, and assess...

In this Appendix, we present the results of four supplementary robustness checks including controlling for various macro risks (Appendix A), different time periods (Appendix B), a different method of forecast construction (Appendix C), and different trading strategy (Appendix D)

The purpose of the paper is to examine the effects of different trading systems, the open outcry and the electronic systems, which differ in the speed of dissemination of order flow information, on the relation between trading activity and conditional volatility, on the probability distribution...