Showing 1 - 10 of 4,544
This paper focuses on the investment value of information contained in the tails of the analyst forecast distribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008332
empirical study has investigated the nexus between the analyst forecast dispersion (AFD) and excess returns surrounding stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556115
This study proposes and validates “other information” in analysts' forecasts as a legitimate proxy for future cash flows, and examines its incremental role in explaining stock return volatility. We suggest that “other information” contains information about fundamentals beyond that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075116
We assess investment value of sell-side analyst recommendations from the standpoint of portfolio risk. We match I/B/E/S consensus recommendations issued for U.S.-listed equities during January 2015 with realized volatility of daily security returns up to one year following recommendation issue....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917695
paper is to investigate whether following the Tunisian stock market opening, both the analyst forecast accuracy and the … increasing with time. Second, we find evidence that earnings expectations are not mainly based on analyst forecast in the first … (2010–2015) as analyst forecast better explain returns and exhibit greater relative information content. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882305
Using 719,830 analyst recommendations from 1994 to 2017, we construct various portfolios based on levels and changes in analyst recommendations and examine how the value of those recommendations in predicting the abnormal stock returns has changed over time. We find that the predictive value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863233
(integrated) production of information. Nonetheless, this paper documents significant stock return and forecast revision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967356
them. I find that negative management forecast surprises lead to a –5.9% abnormal return around the forecast and a 1 ….9% abnormal return and a –1.7% correction. The level of the stock market overreaction varies with the forecast and firm … characteristics, but the marginal impact remains the same: a 1% change in the stock market reaction around the forecast is associated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063187
analyst effort (proxied by analyst coverage) and expertise (proxied by consensus cross-analyst forecast variability) affect … forecast accuracy more significantly for shares traded by foreign investors than for shares traded by local investors …. Additionally, I find that the relation between analyst characteristics and relative forecast accuracy is stronger for shares traded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138744
We show analytically under quite general conditions that implied rates of return based on analysts' earnings forecasts are only a downward biased estimator for future expected one-period returns and therefore not suited for computing market risk premia. The extent of this bias is substantial as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487229