time-varying parameter vector autoregression with stochastic volatility. The empirical analysis reveals several new …

Aggregate implied volatility spread (IVS), defined as the cross-sectional average difference in the implied …

We examine the performance of volatility models that incorporate features such as long (short) memory, regime …-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models … (GMM) estimation are both suitable for MSM-t models, (ii) empirical panel forecasts of MSM-t models show an improvement …

while adjusting for the volatility risk premium. Relative model performance does not change during the global financial …

volatility of Borsa Istanbul 100 Index (BIST-100). Sample data cover the period from January 2008 to December 2017. The main … nonlinear volatility models (symmetric and asymmetric Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [GARCH …]-type models) were used to model and estimate BIST-100 volatility in response to political news. The findings of the paper …

This paper investigates the predictive ability of international volatility risk for the daily aggregate Chinese stock … market returns. We employ the innovations in implied volatility indices of seven major international markets as our … international volatility risk proxies. We find that international volatility risks are negatively associated with contemporaneous …

all firms contained in the STOXX Europe 600 index during the September 1999-December 2018 period. Our estimation approach …