This paper examines whether political activism increases people's propensity to participate in the stock market. Our key conjecture is that politically active people follow political news more actively, which increases their chance of being exposed to financial news. Consequently, their...

This paper examines whether politically active individuals are more likely to participate in the stock market. Our key conjecture is that politically involved individuals follow political news more actively, which increases their chances of being exposed to financial news. Consequently, their...

This paper compares the stock market (S&P) performance during presidents Trump and Obama. The comparison is interesting since Obama employed a stimulus plan (demand side) while Trump employed a tax cut (supply side). We use the inauguration date as the benchmark start till analyses day 7/7/2019;...

Political science theories suggest that U.S. presidents' tenures in office share distinct phases, which have systematic characteristics, that span party ideologies. However, limited attention has been paid to the relation between the presidential life cycle and financial markets. We document...

We develop an index, termed the Government Legislative Index (GLX), that measures the ability of the US Government to execute legislation. In essence, the GLX measures the ability of the President and the ruling party to successfully convert proposed legislation into rules and regulations....

We show that stock prices underreact when there is a political event, reflected in higher momentum returns. We conjecture that political news crowds out stock news cause investors to distract, trade more indexes and underreact to firm specific news. We analyze momentum returns following general...

This paper shows that the Warren Buffet Indicator (BI) about stock market valuation, measured as the overall stock market value divided by GDP, contains an upward bias and not a proper indicator for three main reasons. Primarily, over 40% of the S&P companies’ earnings is overseas, which makes...