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which come primarily from psychology, sociology, and anthropology. The behavioral principles discussed are: prospect theory … heuristic, the disjunction effect, gambling behavior and speculation, perceived irrelevance of history, magical thinking, quasi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024220
We develop a simple agent-based financial market model in which heterogeneous speculators apply technical and fundamental analysis to trade in two different stock markets. Speculators’ strategy/market selections are repeated at each time step and depend on predisposition effects, herding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010204792
We develop a simple agent-based financial market model in which speculators' market entry decisions are subject to herding behavior and market risk. Moreover, speculators' orders depend on price trends, market misalignments and fundamental news. Using a mix of analytical and numerical tools, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011702006
By incorporating behavioral sentiment to a model of limit order market, we show that behavioral sentiment not only helps to replicate most of the stylized facts simultaneously in limit order markets, but also plays a unique role in explaining these stylized facts that cannot be explained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993555
We develop a simple behavioral macro model to study interactions between the real economy and the stock market. The real economy is represented by a Keynesian goods market approach while the setup for the stock market includes heterogeneous speculators. Using a mixture of analytical and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424772
the dot-com peak 20 years ago. In both instances, a very broad subset of stocks became so highly valued that speculation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496514
We propose a simple agent-based computational model in which speculators' trading behavior may cause bubbles and crashes, excess volatility, serially uncorrelated returns, fat-tailed return distributions and volatility clustering, thereby replicating five important stylized facts of stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012257370
The fact that human economic behaviour has a significant irrational element - one that is simultaneously hard-to-explain and highly predictable - has fascinated economists for decades from Fechner, 1860 to Shiller, 2005 and beyond. In this dissertation, I investigate the field from various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011948369
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011868191
Human judgments are systematically affected by various biases and distortions. The main goal of our study is to analyze the effects of five well-documented behavioral biases—namely, the disposition effect, herd behavior, availability heuristic, gambler’s fallacy and hot hand fallacy—on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770254