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Singapore. On the volatility of returns, the changes in oil prices are significant for six markets and they have not much effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257720
even after controlling for market, size, book-to-market, and idiosyncratic volatility effects. We observe that stocks with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023627
We examine the performance of volatility models that incorporate features such as long (short) memory, regime …-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models … (GMM) estimation are both suitable for MSM-t models, (ii) empirical panel forecasts of MSM-t models show an improvement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864486
This paper investigates the predictive ability of international volatility risk for the daily aggregate Chinese stock … market returns. We employ the innovations in implied volatility indices of seven major international markets as our … international volatility risk proxies. We find that international volatility risks are negatively associated with contemporaneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972144
Aggregate implied volatility spread (IVS), defined as the cross-sectional average difference in the implied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897782
In this paper we document the asymmetric role that the U.S. stock market plays in the international predictability of excess stock returns during recession and expansion periods. Most of the positive evidence accrues during the periods of recessions in the United States. During the expansions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011519115
This paper examines how the size of the rolling window, and the frequency used in moving average (MA) trading strategies, affects financial performance when risk is measured. We use the MA rule for market timing, that is, for when to buy stocks and when to shift to the risk-free rate. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906234
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