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Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
of long-term stock market volatility. When long-term volatility is high, stock returns are more sensitive to news, and …-linear present value framework with a two-component volatility model for the conditional variance of cash flow news and allowing for … volatility feedback. In our model, innovations to the long-term volatility component are the most important driver of discount …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014440865
. Both VRPs follow common patterns and respond similarly to changes in volatility and economic conditions. However, we reject …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006407
. Both VRPs follow common patterns and respond similarly to changes in volatility and economic conditions. However, we reject …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013799
Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits … asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between … the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the volatility, is distinctly less persistent and appears short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014190565
Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits … asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between … the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the volatility, is distinctly less persistent and appears short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144799
premium and Sharpe ratio, a high and clustered volatility, a rich time-variation of returns and a low and little volatile risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131562
This paper aims to examine the relation between idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) and stock returns with full-sample and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219258
We construct a global implied volatility surface by combining information from the index options of twenty countries …, including global level and slope, U.S. convexity, VIX, SVIX, variance risk premium, and left-tail volatility. The predictability … of global convexity comes from its left-tail contributions related to crash fears (left-tail volatility), and right …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349532