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This paper presents a new technique for the empirical analysis of some capital market ratios and stock valuation. We first show how capital market ratios (such as the price to earning ratio) can be plotted in a constructed stock valuation box. Within the box we can also plot the contours of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156814
The purpose of this research is to determine the main forecasting factors of stock analysts, to analyze whether stock analysts have a rational base for their advice to the individual investors. According to the Modigliani-Miller theorem, the factors which affected to dividend and capital gain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115296
Because dividends are taxed at a higher rate than capital gains, as stock with a higher yields should have a higher expected return than a stock whose return is expected to result mostly from price appreciation. Adding yield to the traditional Security Market Line results in a "market plane"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928355
We show that log-dividends (d) and log-prices (p) are cointegrated, but, instead of de facto assuming the stationarity of the classical log dividend–price ratio, we allow the data to reveal the cointegration vector between d and p. We define the modified dividend–price ratio (mdp), as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905483
Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287305
We examine 22 determinants of stock market correlations in a panel setting with 651 country pairs of developed economies over the 2001-2018 period, while accounting for model uncertainty and reverse causality. On the one hand, we find, that a number of determinants, well established in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380503
Common stock valuation presents one of the most complex tasks in financial analysis. When it attempts to answer on question: „what causes stock price movements? “Then the answer would not relate only on economic factors. There are numerous factors that affect the stock price and they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009785966
Besides the positively biased rating structure and procyclical nature of analysts' stock recommendations we observe that within the global universe stock recommendations and stock performance are largely uncorrelated. Nevertheless, investors are able to benefit from sell side stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097297
Appendix is available at: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=3395415" https://ssrn.com/abstract=3395415Identifying firm connections by shared analyst coverage, we find that a connected-firm (CF) momentum factor generates a monthly alpha of 1.68% (t = 9.67). In spanning regressions, the alphas of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901408
Full paper is available at: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=3015582" https://ssrn.com/abstract=3015582Identifying firm connections by shared analyst coverage, we find that a connected-firm (CF) momentum factor generates a monthly alpha of 1.68% (t = 9.67). In spanning regressions, the alphas of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869562