Showing 1 - 10 of 12,751
Any time series can be decomposed into cyclical components fluctuating at different frequencies. Accordingly, in this paper we propose a method to forecast the stock market's equity premium which exploits the frequency relationship between the equity premium and several predictor variables. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208225
Empirical measures of world consumption growth risk have failed to rationalize the cross-section of country equity … returns. We propose a new factor, termed "the global consumption factor", to explain the patterns in risk premiums on … from 47 developed and emerging market countries over a four-decade period. Our risk factor reflects changes in the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362976
law of one price, and is present in all but risk-neutral economies. We test the cross-sectional predictions of our theory … market price of risk. We show empirically that a conditional CAPM that accounts for time variation in equity nonlinearity …Because levered equity is an option on the firm, variations in asset idiosyncratic risk (ivol) induces a negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108
Any time series can be decomposed into cyclical components fluctuating at different frequencies. Accordingly, in this paper we propose a method to forecast the stock market's equity premium which exploits the frequency relationship between the equity premium and several predictor variables. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835434
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609242
This paper determines whether the world market risk, country-specific total risk, and country-specific idiosyncratic … risk are priced in an international capital asset pricing model (ICAPM). The paper also tests if the price of risk …, stacked time-series, and pooled panel regressions indicate that the world market risk is not, but country-specific total and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116715
systematically priced in the cross-section of stock returns in China. We find that return dispersion carries a positive price of risk … effect is robust to alternative portfolio sorts based on the well-established risk factors as well as industry portfolios. We … that end, return dispersion serves as a more meaningful proxy for risk in this emerging market that has experienced a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023627
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175824
higher degree of downside risk. To hedge against that specific risk, investors could buy put options. However, the … short selling the underlying security, i.e. transfer risk to a third party, something not properly developed in the domestic … necessary, in this paper we show the point calculating protection against downside risk in the Argentinean stock market, using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858222
This paper presents evidence suggesting that artificial neural networks approach (ANNs) outperform traditional statistical methods and can forecast equity premiums reasonably well. The study replicates out-of-sample estimates of regression using ANN with economic fundamentals as inputs. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895878