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We develop a novel financial market model in which the stock markets of two countries are linked via and with the foreign exchange market. To be precise, there are domestic and foreign speculators in each of the two stock markets which rely either on linear technical or linear fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009007640
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013188433
Using data on twenty major OECD countries over time, this paper documents a new evidence on real equity and real currency prices: higher real returns in the home equity market relative to foreign counterparts are generally associated with real home currency depreciation at a monthly frequency,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991484
This paper presents a comprehensive empirical examination of the foreign exposure effect on Japanese corporations and sectors. We provide compelling evidence that, after controlling for marketwide movements, the exposure effect on Japanese corporations' stock returns is both statistically and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014085184
It is generally acknowledged that one of the risks faced by any company is FX risk, especially when the business operates internationally. For individual companies, exposure to FX risk results in different financial implications, stressing such parameters as the industry affiliation and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012642502
We extract cycles from the term spread and study their role for predicting the equity premium using linear models. When properly extracted, the trend of the term spread is a strong and robust out-of-sample equity premium predictor, both from a statistical and an economic point of view. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865561
The daily S&P 500 forward earnings yield (E/P ratio) is strongly negatively correlated with daily Treasury yields of all maturities during the 2007 financial crisis, which is a reversal from the relation that prevailed before the crisis. To explain this pattern reversal, I introduce a new risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133057
In this paper, we sought to establish whether Africa's volatile currencies drive equity risk premia. We use the SDF framework to estimate various conditional specifications of the International Capital Asset Pricing Model through generalized method of moments technique. Our results show strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051002
Based on a three-factor international capital asset pricing model, we examine whether the world market, the local … weekly data on 58 largest Canadian firms indicates that the currency as well as the local and the world market risks are … find that the price of the world market, the local market and the currency risks is time-varying and the Canadian equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071525
This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813880