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This paper shows that in financial markets with endogenous asset supply and demand, both rational and noise traders do coexist in the long run. The finding implies that financial markets are neither informationally nor allocationally efficient. While rational traders have a consistently higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858738
In this paper the relation between aggregate mutual fund flows and stock market returns isanalysed with respect to three issues. First, we study the relation between fund flows andlong-term realized returns (past, current and future). Second, we find out that fund flows arenot driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858861
Regelmäßige Veröffentlichungen makroökonomischer Kennzahlen, die von den Erwartungen der Marktteilnehmer abweichen, wirken sich in rund zwei Drittel der Fälle sofort auf den deutschen Aktienmarkt aus. Vor allem Daten zu Investitionen, Zahlen über die realwirtschaftlichen Aktivitäten oder...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011693574
Despite a large and growing theoretical literature on flights to safety, there does not appear to exist an empirical characterization of flight-to-safety (FTS) episodes. Using only data on bond and stock returns, we identify and characterize flight to safety episodes for 23 countries. On...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506750
Regelmäßige Veröffentlichungen makroökonomischer Kennzahlen, die von den Erwartungen der Marktteilnehmer abweichen, wirken sich in rund zwei Drittel der Fälle sofort auf den deutschen Aktienmarkt aus. Vor allem Daten zu Investitionen, Zahlen über die realwirtschaftlichen Aktivitäten oder...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732340
This paper develops a general continuous-time evolutionary finance model with time-dependent strategies. It is shown that the continuous model, which is a limit of a general discrete model, is well-defined and if there exists one completely diversified strategy in the market, then there is no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220854
We show that the stock market pricing the presidential margin of victory in a nonlinear concave fashion, with a higher price for medium than slight or crushing victories. We conjecture that the margin of victory reflects president confidence and the ability to execute policies. A small margin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251084
In this paper, we use the DCC MIDAS approach to assess the validity of the wake-up call hypothesis for developed and emerging markets during the global financial crisis (GFC). We use this approach to decompose the total correlations into short- (daily) and long-run (quarterly) correlations for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996921
An attempt was made in this paper to ascertain whether firm size plays a significant role in the performance of equity portfolios in Frontier African markets as observed elsewhere and whether the relationship can be adequately explained by the capital assets pricing model and the efficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998478
Harry Markowitz (1959) develops "mean-variance model". Based on this model, Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965) and Black (1972) build CAPM. However, empirical findings are not in favor of CAPM. Then,Merton (1973) generalizes CAPM and proposes ICAPM. Afterwards, Fama and French (1996) take the idea...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999253