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In this paper we examine the performance of theories of decision making under uncertainty/ambiguity from the perspective of their descriptive and predictive power, taking into account the relative parsimony of the various theories. To this end, we employ an innovative experimental design which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328553
The recent spate of theoretical models of behaviour under ambiguity can be partitioned into two sets: those involving multiple priors (in which the probabilities of the various events are not known but probabilities can be attached to the various possible values for the probabilities) and those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009393736
Representing ambiguity in the laboratory using a Bingo Blower (which is transparent and not manipulable) and asking the subjects a series of allocation questions (which are more efcient than pairwise choice questions), we obtain data from which we can estimate by maximum likelihood methods (with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364547
There is a large theoretical literature in both economics and psychology on decision making under ambiguity (as distinct from risk) and many preference functionals proposed in this literature for describing behaviour in such contexts. However, the empirical literature is scarce and largely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005523931