Showing 1 - 4 of 4
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244308
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001235475
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001225620
We develop a novel real-time metric of macroeconomic surprises across hundreds of macroeconomic series. Economic surprises display sizable short-term autocorrelation, driven by predictable errors in consensus forecasts. The resulting 'economic surprise momentum' is present across all major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293789