Showing 1 - 10 of 290
ambiguous urn. Holding other information identical and controlling for the level of ambiguity, we find that labeling assets as … ambiguity robust mean-variance model accurately predicts benchmark portfolio weights of the experimental control group, where … assets are not labeled: subjects allocate more wealth to assets with low ambiguity. For treatment group portfolios, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340322
We consider individual's portfolio selection problems. Introducing the concept of ambiguity, we show the existence of … are represented by the Choquet integral with respect to the inner measure. Under the concept of ambiguity, it is … probabilities. Furthermore, we study the difference between ambiguity and uncertainty by considering investors' behavior. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332296
populated by bothstandard expected utility maximizers and by ambiguity-averse investors that trade in the market fora risky … asset. We show that, provided there is a sufficient amount of ambiguity, market breakdownswhere large portions of traders …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005870697
This paper examines a continuous-time intertemporal consumption and portfolio choice problem foran ambiguity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005870701
We relate time-varying aggregate ambiguity (V-VSTOXX) to individual investor trading. We use the trading records of … an increase in ambiguity is associated with increased investor activity. It also leads to a reduction in risk …-taking which does not reverse over the following days. When ambiguity is high, the effect of sentiment looms larger. Survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387918
This paper sets up an experimental asset market in the laboratory to investigate the effects of ambiguity on price … formation and trading behavior in financial markets. The obtained trading data is used to analyze the effect of ambiguity on … trading) and to test the quality of popular empirical market-based measures for the degree of ambiguity. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663127
There are two stylised facts, namely weak demand for life-annuities and flat age-wealth profile that contradict the life-cycle hypothesis. In this paper we design a theoretical framework, which combines plausible arguments, which have been put forward in the literature to reconcile theory with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294565
The study at hand deals with the expectations of professional analysts and novices in the context of foreign exchange markets. We analyze the respective forecasting accuracy and our results indicate that there exist substantial differences between professional forecasts and judgmental forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296526
We propose a new decision criterion under risk in which people extract both utility from anticipatory feelings ex ante and disutility from disappointment ex post. The decision maker chooses his degree of optimism, given that more optimism raises both the utility of ex ante feelings and the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298342
The empirical performance of macroeconomic exchange rate models is more than disappointing. This dismal result is also reflected in the forecasting capabilities of professional analysts: all in all, analysts are not in a position to beat naïve random walk forecasts. The root for this deficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305737