Showing 1 - 10 of 1,679
This paper studies why investors buy dividend-paying assets and how they time their consumption accordingly. We combine administrative bank data linking customers' consumption transactions and income to detailed portfolio data and survey responses on financial behavior. We find that private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012223798
The study at hand deals with the expectations of professional analysts and novices in the context of foreign exchange markets. We analyze the respective forecasting accuracy and our results indicate that there exist substantial differences between professional forecasts and judgmental forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296526
This paper presents and compares several time-series models for returns of broadbased stock indices. These models nest … a nonlinear asymmetric GARCH (NGARCH) model as a special case. Some of these models are empirically motivated ad … recent findings in behavioral finance. To compare these models we use the inflation adjusted MSCI total return indices of 5 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297345
This paper presents and compares several time-series models for returns of broadbased stock indices. These models nest … a nonlinear asymmetric GARCH (NGARCH) model as a special case. Some of these models are empirically motivated ad … recent findings in behavioral finance. To compare these models we use the inflation adjusted MSCI total return indices of 5 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298005
Assessments of investors' risk appetite/aversion stance via indicators often yields results which seem unsatisfactory (see e.g. Illing and Aaron (2005)). Understanding how such indicators work therefore seems essential for further improvements. The present paper seeks to contribute to this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298784
We develop an agent-based financial market model in which agents follow technical and fundamental trading rules to determine their speculative investment positions. A central feature of our model is that we consider direct interactions between speculators due to which they may decide to change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300807
The empirical performance of macroeconomic exchange rate models is more than disappointing. This dismal result is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305737
Die Berücksichtigung der zukünftigen Entwicklung des Wechselkurses ist sowohl für internationale Unternehmen als auch für international tätige Investoren unabdingbar. Allerdings ist die Erstellung von Wechsel- kursprognosen schwierig, da bis zum heutigen Zeitpunkt kein allgemein anerkanntes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305747
A number of recent theoretical studies have explored trading in fragmented markets, e.g. Biais etal. (2000), a phenomenon increasingly witnessed in modern markets. The key assumptiongenerating the results is that there is at least one liquidity demander exploiting access to allmarkets by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324853
In this paper we model how the existence of different beliefs about the underlying fundamental value of a currency affects the dynamics of the exchange rate. We find that a divergence of beliefs creates the potential for waves of optimism and pessimism that alternate in an unpredictable way....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273768