This article examines the determinants of trading decisions, and the performance of trader types, in the context of the E-Mini S&P 500 futures and S&P 500 futures markets. Although the markets are very similar, essentially trading the same underlying asset but with different contract sizes, some...

We show how specific features of the microstructure information from VPIN and DPIN can volatile the futures market and can link with the price discover and investor sentiment. We develop an investor (institutional, noise, and both) sentiment index for the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 (SSE 50)...

We examine the effects of limited investor attention on stock returns by using Google search volume index to measure investor attention. We also investigate whether national culture and market development have any role in this relationship. We find that the impact of investor attention on stock...

This paper contains three useful contributions: (1) it collects a new data-set of electronic transaction data on soybean futures from the Dalian Futures Exchange in China that records, not only the usual elements of each transaction (such as price and size) but also identifies broker and...

Option market activity increases by more than 10 percent in the four days before quarterly earnings announcements. We show that the direction of this pre-announcement trading foreshadows subsequent earnings news. Specifically, we find option traders initiate a greater proportion of long (short)...

Do option investors rationally exercise their options? Numerous studies report evidence of irrational behavior. In this paper, we pay careful attention to intraday option quotes and reach the opposite conclusion. An exercise boundary violation (EBV) occurs when the best bid price for an American...

Finding what causes pricing anomalies is an important step towards improving market efficiency. The favourite-longshot bias is one of the longest-standing pricing anomalies in state-contingent claims markets. However, existing models are unable to capture its full complexity. We develop a...

This paper investigates the performance of three different trading strategies – Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), George and Hwang (2004) and Gatev, Goetzmann and Rouwenhorst (2006) – in 29 commodity futures from January 1979 to October 2017. We find there is no significant reversal profit across...

This article investigates the pricing of volatility risk in agricultural commodity markets. We show theoretically that the cost of bearing volatility risk can be measured using returns to delta-neutral straddles. Using a sample of options for five commodities (corn, soybeans, Chicago wheat, live...

Prior studies show that investor learning about earnings-based return predictors from academic research erodes return predictability. However, the signaling power of “bottom-line” earnings has declined over time, which complicates assessments of investor learning about profitability signals...