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We survey retail investors at an online bank to study beliefs about the autocorrelation of aggregate stock returns, and how these beliefs shape investment decisions measured in administrative account data. Individuals' beliefs exhibit substantial heterogeneity and predict trading responses to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669739
We survey retail investors at an online bank to study beliefs about the autocorrelation of aggregate stock returns, and how these beliefs shape investment decisions measured in administrative account data. Individuals' beliefs exhibit substantial heterogeneity and predict trading responses to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799463
We provide a preference-based rationale for endogenous overconfidence. Horizon-dependent risk aversion, combined with a possibility to forget, can generate overconfidence and excessive risk taking in equilibrium. An "anxiety prone" agent, who is more risk-averse to imminent than to distant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482950
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176709
informed on the state, they report it truthfully; when uninformed, they report their favorite state. A Bayesian decision maker …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383694
comparing the performance of the agent described in Barberis et al. (1998) with the one of a pure Bayesian competitor. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013161531
/or ambiguity attitudes. Separating these factors is key for understanding and correcting overconfident behavior, as they may call … first experiment shows the importance of ambiguity attitudes for overconfident behavior. Optimistic ambiguity attitudes … (ambiguity seeking) counterbalanced the effect of pessimistic beliefs, leading to neither over- nor underconfident behavior. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350225
We analytically show that a common across rich/poor individuals Stone-Geary utility function with subsistence consumption in the context of a simple two-asset portfolio-choice model is capable of qualitatively and quantitatively explaining: (i) the higher saving rates of the rich, (ii) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308579
There are two stylised facts, namely weak demand for life-annuities and flat age-wealth profile that contradict the life-cycle hypothesis. In this paper we design a theoretical framework, which combines plausible arguments, which have been put forward in the literature to reconcile theory with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294565
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002519749