This paper sheds new light on the mutual relationship between investor sentiment and excess returns corresponding to the bubble component of stock prices. We propose to use the wavelet concept of the phase angle to determine the lead-lag relation between these variables. The wavelet phase angle...

This paper aims to examine the reactions among institutional and individual investors when facing those listed firms' public announcements, and the effects of their trading on stock returns on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TSE). By employing a trivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) model, we find...

We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...

We examine the long-term relationship between signals derived from nine years of unstructured social media microblog text data and financial market developments in five major economic regions. Employing statistical language modeling techniques we construct directional sentiment metrics and link...

A simple market timing algorithm is examined that switches from an exchange traded fund representing U. S. equities to one holding treasury long bonds every month on the last day, the switch being made to whichever ETF has the greatest ratio of current adjusted closing price to adjusted closing...

This study examines the effect of Herding in different states (low, high and extreme volatility) in Tehran Stock Exchange during the years 2009-2013 using Chang et al. (2000) and Balcilar et al. (2013) models. In this survey, herding is tested under 3 market regimes. The results don't show...

We investigate the impact of extreme weather conditions on the stock market returns of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Exchange. For the weather conditions, we apply dummy variables generated by applying a moving average and moving standard deviation. Our study provides two interesting...

In worldwide financial markets, increased trading is a more common observable factor that not goes in favor of the standard of classical economic theory based on rational agents and efficient markets. Previous research suggests that market performance operate the level of overconfidence and...

Despite a large and growing theoretical literature on flights to safety, there does not appear to exist an empirical characterization of flight-to-safety (FTS) episodes. Using only data on bond and stock returns, we identify and characterize flight to safety episodes for 23 countries. On...

We identify flight-to-safety (FTS) days for 23 countries using only stock and bond returns and a model averaging approach. FTS days comprise less than 2% of the sample, and are associated with a 2.7% average bond-equity return differential and significant flows out of equity funds and into...