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We examine whether, and to what extent, investors focus on salient and easy-to-process features in responding to analyst forecasts. We focus on rounding as arguably the most salient forecast feature. We find that while rounding is only marginally associated with forecast accuracy, investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058142
We correlate analysts' forecast errors with temporal variation in investor sentiment. We find that when sentiment is high, analysts' forecasts of one-year-ahead earnings and long-term earnings growth are relatively more optimistic for “uncertain” or “difficult to value” firms. Adding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116864
This paper reveals that in addition to fundamental factors, the 52-week high price and recent investor sentiment play an important role in analysts' target price formation. Analysts' forecasts of short-term earnings and long-term earnings growth are shown to be important explanatory variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857242
Prior research on equity analysts focuses almost exclusively on those employed by sell-side investment banks and brokerage houses. Yet investment firms undertake their own buy-side research and their analysts face different stock selection and recommendation incentives than their sell-side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069540
I estimate a theory-based behavioral momentum using analysts' predictable underreaction (APU) as a proxy for newswatchers underreaction. The results show that APU strongly predicts analysts' errors and, more importantly, stock returns. A long-short strategy based on APU generates a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289746
Research suggests certain investors face significant information disadvantages, particularly during earnings announcements. We investigate whether financial analysis on Seeking Alpha, a prominent social media platform hosting original financial analysis, can mitigate this disadvantage. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851036
Retail investors, on average, are known to be less informed. The democratized access to big financial data enabled by recent technological advances has the potential to make them better informed. At the same time, behavioral finance and economic theories postulate that such unprecedented access...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848271
Among the ecosystem of decentralized financial services, yield farming is a complex investment strategy with hidden downside risks providing opportunities for passively earning income. We characterize the risk and return characteristics of yield farming and show that yield farms dynamically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244917
The collapse of an investment mania usually reminds people that the phrase "This time is different" is dangerous. Recollections of this mantra then typically either state outright or at least imply that "It is never different." However, there is at least one counterexample to this cautious view,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116261
We use trade-level data to examine the role of actively managed funds (AMFs) in earnings news dissemination. We find AMFs are drawn to, and participate disproportionately more in, earnings announcements (EAs) that include bundled managerial guidance. When the two pieces of news are directionally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980295