We correlate analysts' forecast errors with temporal variation in investor sentiment. We find that when sentiment is high, analysts' forecasts of one-year-ahead earnings and long-term earnings growth are relatively more optimistic for “uncertain” or “difficult to value” firms. Adding...

This paper reveals that in addition to fundamental factors, the 52-week high price and recent investor sentiment play an important role in analysts' target price formation. Analysts' forecasts of short-term earnings and long-term earnings growth are shown to be important explanatory variables...

We examine whether, and to what extent, investors focus on salient and easy-to-process features in responding to analyst forecasts. We focus on rounding as arguably the most salient forecast feature. We find that while rounding is only marginally associated with forecast accuracy, investors...

Prior research on equity analysts focuses almost exclusively on those employed by sell-side investment banks and brokerage houses. Yet investment firms undertake their own buy-side research and their analysts face different stock selection and recommendation incentives than their sell-side...

I estimate a theory-based behavioral momentum using analysts' predictable underreaction (APU) as a proxy for newswatchers underreaction. The results show that APU strongly predicts analysts' errors and, more importantly, stock returns. A long-short strategy based on APU generates a...

This paper examines the relation between cognitive perceptions of management and firm valuation. We develop a composite measure of investor perception using 30-second content-filtered video clips of initial public offering (IPO) roadshow presentations. We show that this measure, designed to...

In this paper, I examine whether consistent quarterly earnings signals generate momentum and subsequent return reversals. Conditioning on growth consistency in quarterly earnings, I show that an unbroken earnings string creates a strong financial momentum that peaks at the end of the first three...

Collins and Hribar (2002) exposes the distorting effects of corporate events, such as mergers and divestitures, in accrual-based trading strategies using the balance sheet method documented in Sloan (1996). This paper contributes to the accruals literature by investigating and documenting the...

The Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) anomaly refers to the tendency of stock prices to continue drifting in the same direction as earnings surprises well through the subsequent earnings announcements; ignoring the autocorrelations in extreme earnings surprises across adjacent quarters....

We study arbitrageurs specializing in the shorting of seemingly overpriced securities. Contrary to popular accounts that the convexity in fee structure utilized in the hedge fund industry encourages managers to take on risk, our evidence suggests that short arbitrageurs shy away from risk and...