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This study examines individual analyst forecast revisions of annual earnings to provide insight into “walkdown ….7 percent of analyst-firm-year forecast revisions during 2001 – 2021 exhibit walkdown behavior. In contrast, 40.8 percent of … analyst’s first forecast is optimistic, her final forecast is similarly likely to be slightly optimistic as slightly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244835
' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
analyst forecasts. We focus on rounding as arguably the most salient forecast feature. We find that while rounding is only … marginally associated with forecast accuracy, investors attribute to it undue significance. Investors view rounding as distinctly … informative to other analyst characteristics that determine forecast accuracy and the likelihood of rounding. Unlike previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058142
is mainly strategic or whether it also contains an element of cognitive bias. Despite the fact that forecast errors lack …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045970
This research aims to examine empirically the overreliance on representativeness heuristic and anchoring-adjustment influences experienced by investors in forecasting future earnings. This research was a laboratory experiment with a design of 2x2 full factorial between subject. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012502444
We investigate whether investors are misled by firms that exclude particular expenses in calculating non-GAAP earnings in order to beat analysts' earnings forecasts. Our empirical analyses suggest that firms that pursue a strategy of non-GAAP reporting to beat analysts' earnings forecasts not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864015
forecast and the subsequent earnings announcement. Thus, when firms disaggregate forecasts and subsequently release … multiple benchmarks. Thus, we show that issuing a disaggregated earnings forecast to achieve the associated benefits can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933212
In contrast to the disappearing dividends view, we predict that variability in dividend payments increases investor demand for dividend information and analysts respond to this demand by producing informative dividend forecasts. We examine dividend payers from 16 countries spanning 2000–2013...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003188
aspect of this research paradigm by examining investor response to analyst forecast revisions using accounting restatements … convey about forecast accuracy inrestatement firms than in non-restatement firms. The evidence also suggests that the level … analysis demonstrates that the innovation in forecast revisions also affects the association between investor response and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138792
We correlate analysts' forecast errors with temporal variation in investor sentiment. We find that when sentiment is … “uncertain” or “difficult to value” firms. Adding these forecast errors to a regression of stock returns on sentiment absorbs a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116864