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We find that financial analysts provide more thorough forecasts when firms’ institutional investors are distracted (i.e., when firms are neglected). We establish the causality of the effect by identifying exogenous shocks leading to institutional investor distraction following Kempf, Manconi,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404199
We test the implications of anchoring bias associated with forecast earnings per share (FEPS) for forecast errors … more positive forecast revisions, more negative forecast errors, and more negative earnings surprises after a stock split …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092369
' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
This study presents direct evidence on the question whether investors recognize the widely documented biases in securities analysts' earnings forecasts. The internal rate of return implied by current stock price and consensus earnings forecasts is found to be correlated with indicators of bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862149
analyst forecasts. We focus on rounding as arguably the most salient forecast feature. We find that while rounding is only … marginally associated with forecast accuracy, investors attribute to it undue significance. Investors view rounding as distinctly … informative to other analyst characteristics that determine forecast accuracy and the likelihood of rounding. Unlike previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058142
We examine article, author and firm characteristics of investment articles published by non-professional analysts on the social media investment platform Seeking Alpha from 2006 to 2020 leading to visible market value changes. We show that there are differences between articles followed by stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290160
The extent to which financial analysts provide ‘herd' rather than ‘bold' (or anti-herd) earnings forecasts has important implications for market efficiency. Identifying any contributing factor(s) for financial analyst herding behavior can lead to policies to help reduce such harmful conduct....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833171
I analyze 18510 SEC EDGAR Form 10-K (annual reports), for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX (NYSE MKT) stocks, along with 176565 SEC EDGAR Form 13-F (quarterly reports of institutional investors holdings), and analysts' recommendations, from 2001 until 2015. I find that (i) 10-K pessimism negatively affects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018383
This paper studies the effect of investor sentiment on analysts' consensus recommendations. Our results show that the optimistic bias of analysts in the issuing of recommendations is affected by investor sentiment: the greater the investor sentiment, the more optimistically biased the analysts'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111588
implications for analysts' forecast errors conditioned on the errors being positive and negative. We then use proxies for positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944174