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This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. The former is exploited by trend-following models, while the latter by contrarian models. In total, the performance of 2580 widely used models is analyzed. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135708
"momentum crashes." We find that the high uncertainty of momentum strategies is sourced from the cross-sectional volatility of … individual stocks. Stocks with high realised volatility over the formation period tend to lose momentum effect, while stocks with … low realised volatility show strong momentum. A new approach, generalised risk-adjusted momentum (GRJMOM), is introduced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841097
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since .the early 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226778
relating the growing importance of ETFs to increased market volatility and rising equity valuations. We estimate quantile … cointegration models using Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500) and Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility Index (VIX) data for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540299
bubble in American and European equity markets using the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed as on one hand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887512
proxy, "co-attention", that measures the correlation in demand for market-wide information across stock markets approximated … news and fundamentals. Most importantly, we find a positive association between co-attention and excess correlation. This … volatility transmission indirectly across markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941907
This study shows how correlated information consumption (CIC) of retail investors relates to comovement in stock market outcomes. We construct clusters of stocks with CIC by employing network analysis on Google co-search data. We predict significant comovement in returns and liquidity of stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334839
How do financial markets switch from states of optimism to pessimism and vice versa? Given that a financial market is currently stable, what is the probability that it will become unstable and crash? We answer those questions in the context of a natural experiment with risk sources of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227151
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