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This paper explores the effect of feedback trading on expected returns and international portfolio allocation using stock market data for the US and Latin America. Autocorrelation in monthly returns are shown to vary with volatility as suggested by the Shiller-Sentana-Wadhwani feedback trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105314
Investor recognition affects cross-sectional stock returns. In informationally incomplete markets, investors have limited recognition of all securities, and their holding of stocks with low recognition requires compensation for being imperfectly diversified. Using the number of posts on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858695
In the U.S., momentum portfolios formed on returns from 12 to seven months prior to the current month deliver higher returns than momentum portfolios formed from six to two months prior, suggesting an “echo” in returns (Novy-Marx (2012)). In 37 countries not including the U.S., there is no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092354
The recent increase in passive investment products has provided investors with easy access to international markets. The basic motivation of this paper is to offer new tools to investors who want to allocate assets across countries. This study investigates the performance of equity country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011632627
We investigate how information choices impact equity returns and risk. Building on an existing theoretical model of information and investment choice, we estimate a learning index that reflects the expected benefits of learning about an asset. High learning index stocks have lower future returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355075
Prior studies show that investor learning about earnings-based return predictors from academic research erodes return predictability. However, the signaling power of “bottom-line” earnings has declined over time, which complicates assessments of investor learning about profitability signals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891102
We test the hypothesis that low visibility shocks to text-based network industry peers can explain industry momentum. We consider industry peer firms identified through 10-K product text and focus on economic peer links that do not share common SIC codes. Shocks to less visible peers generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972674
We provide strong evidence that the dispersion of individual stock options trading volume across moneynesses (IDISP) contains valuable information about future stock returns. Stocks with high IDISP consistently underperform those with low IDISP by more than 1% per month. In line with the idea...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937333
We establish a link between firms managing investors' performance expectations, earnings announcement premia, and cyclical patterns (i.e., seasonalities) in returns. Firms that are more likely to manage expectations toward beatable levels predictably earn lower returns before, and higher returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902681
We propose that innovative originality is a valuable organizational resource, and that owing to limited investor attention and skepticism of complexity, greater innovative originality may be undervalued. We find that firms' innovative originality strongly predicts higher, more persistent, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857235