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We study an option pricing framework that accounts for the price impact of an earnings announcement (EA), and analyze the behavior of the implied volatility surface prior to the event. On each known announcement date, we introduce a random jump to the stock price. Applying this idea to extend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033272
Bid-ask spreads using intraday data reveal significant sensitivity to European Central Bank (ECB) macro announcements. Effects are strongest for announcements that comprise unexpected information or a change in interest rates, and spreads rise sharply during the minutes surrounding interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010211906
This paper uses transaction-level fund trading data from the United States to study the information advantage of institutional investors. Our research design follows a two-step procedure. In the first step, we identify funds that sell shares in firms before their unexpected revelation of stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916867
This paper uses a unique transaction-level fund trading dataset to evaluate institutional investors' trading performance. Our research design follows a two-step procedure. In the first stage, we identify funds that heavily sold shares in firms before their public revelation of stock option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005758
Option market activity increases by more than 10 percent in the four days before quarterly earnings announcements. We show that the direction of this pre-announcement trading foreshadows subsequent earnings news. Specifically, we find option traders initiate a greater proportion of long (short)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123888
We document pervasive informed trading activity in equity options before M&A announcements. About 25% of takeovers have positive abnormal volumes. These volume patterns indicate that informed traders are likely using bullish directional strategies for the target and volatility strategies for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033511
Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during major information events. This paper investigates whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039227
In this study, we examine the options market reaction to bank loan announcements for the population of US firms with traded options and loan announcements during 1996-2010. We get evidence on a significant options market reaction to bank loan announcements in terms of levels and changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903492
The Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) anomaly refers to the tendency of stock prices to continue drifting in the same direction as earnings surprises well through the subsequent earnings announcements; ignoring the autocorrelations in extreme earnings surprises across adjacent quarters....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090197
We examine the informed trading in the options market for firms announcing CEO turnover and their suppliers and find that pre-announcement options trading in both announcing firms and the suppliers have predictive power for abnormal returns around forced CEO turnover events. This effect is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324363