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The complex behavior of financial markets emerges from decisions made by many traders. Here, we exploit a large corpus of daily print issues of the Financial Times from 2nd January 2007 until 31st December 2012 to quantify the relationship between decisions taken in financial markets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061319
Banks play a special role as providers of informative signals about the quality and value of their borrowers. Such signals, however, may have a quality of their own as the banks' selection and monitoring abilities may differ. Using an event study methodology, we study the importance of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832012
The impact of U.S. bank loan announcements on the stock prices of the corporate borrowers has been decreasing during the two last decades with estimated two-day cumulative abnormal returns slipping from almost 200 basis points in the beginning of the 1980s to close to zero by the turn of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412303
Based on full-displayed limit order book data from the electronic trading system Xetra, I study traders' tendency to herd in their decisions to buy or to sell securities around the time of news release. In more detail, I study the impact of company-specific, real-time messages routed by Reuters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131769
This paper shows that in asset pricing the information environment gives rise to a systematic risk factor when the informativeness of future news events varies with their content (i.e., bad news and good news are not equally informative). The paper further shows that in such cases (cross) serial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119323
Banks play a special role as providers of informative signals about the quality and value of their borrowers. Such signals, however, may have a quality of their own as the banks' selection and monitoring abilities may differ. Using an event study methodology, we study the importance of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098445
Motivated by research in psychology and experimental economics, we assume that investors update their beliefs about an asset's value upon observing the price, but only when the price clearly reveals that others obtained private information that differs from their own private information. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938215
This study proposes and tests an alternative to the extant earnings management explanation for zero and small positive earnings surprises (i.e., analyst forecast errors). We argue that analysts' ability to strategically induce slight pessimism in earnings forecasts varies with the precision of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973956
Revisions of consensus forecasts of macroeconomic variables positively predict announcement day forecast errors, whereas stock market returns on forecast revision days negatively predict announcement day returns. A dynamic noisy rational expectations model with periodic macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846330
Deviations of market participants forecasts from full-information rational expectations (FIRE) are usually specified to arise from limited information or irrationality. Relying on a novel theoretical characterization, we present empirical evidence that these specifications are inconsistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296992