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Since the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) began announcing its policy decisions in 1994, U.S. stock returns have on average been more than thirty times larger on announcement days than on other days. Surprisingly, these abnormal returns are accrued before the policy announcement. The excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009272258
In a single information transfer setting, we detect both under- and overreactions of stock prices to corporate earnings news. We find that the stock prices of a firm's blockholder underreact to the firm's earnings news but the stock prices of the firm overreact to its blockholder's earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115097
Using computer based content analysis, we quantify the linguistic tone of quarterly earnings conference calls for publicly traded Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). After controlling for the earnings announcement, we examine the relation between conference call tone and the contemporaneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116025
This paper examines the long and short-run relationships between three Central European Economies stock returns (Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic) and their main western economic and trading partner, which is Germany. We obtain evidence of links between macroeconomic variables and stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124292
We show that immediate and delayed abnormal returns following earnings announcement surprises differ across market states. Immediate abnormal returns are more sensitive to earnings surprises in down markets, while delayed abnormal returns are less sensitive; underreaction is attenuated in down...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096116
We document large average excess returns on U.S. equities in anticipation of monetary policy decisions made at scheduled meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in the past few decades. These pre-FOMC returns have increased over time and account for sizable fractions of total annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092455
Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during major information events. This paper investigates whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039227
I examine how financial markets interact with news about the COVID-19 pandemic. A twelve topic model optimizes the trade-off between number of topics and topic coherence. Using this model, I show that before mid-March 2020 markets react more to the same quantum of news when volatility is higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838169
The relation between average equity return and market exposure behaves distinctively on days on which early earnings announcements are made by firms for which the announcements have a large spillover “influence” on discount rates and expectations of earnings for related firms. On such days...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841900
Using the first and recently available universe of dark pool trading in the U.S. from FINRA, we document trading patterns around scheduled and unscheduled corporate information events. We find that there is more trading in dark pools in the week of earnings announcement as well as analyst...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955967